The AIPAC would be the most influential pro-Israel lobby group in the US as it has more than 100,000 members (150 of them dedicated exclusively to pressuring Congress, the White House and all administrative bodies in making political decisions that may affect to the interests of the State of Israel) and although it has always been believed that AIPAC would be a “virtual government” that would remotely direct US foreign policy based on Israeli interests, the reality would be that the pro-Israel lobby has real weight in the spheres of power because the US and Israel have almost always shared identical geopolitical interests since the founding of the State of Israel in 1948. Thus, the US would count on Israel to keep the Arab states of the Middle East under constant threat of attack, (while ensuring that they remain subservient to Washington) and Israel could not continue to exist in its current form without strong support. political and material it receives from the US (about 3.8 billion dollars a year in military aid).

However, Joe Biden would be indebted to Obama’s foreign policy, which could mean the return of the geopolitical doctrine whose brain would be the former National Security Advisor to President Carter, Zbigniew Brzezinski. Thus, Brzezinski in a speech before the Iranian-American National Council (NIAC), stated that “I believe that the US has the right to decide its own national security policy and not follow what the Israelis do like a stupid mule.” In addition, Brzezinski was at odds with the US Republican and Jewish neocon lobbies and with his usual scathing would have discredited the geostrategic myopia of both pressure groups by stating that “they are so obsessed with Israel, the Persian Gulf, Iraq and Iran that they have lost from the global picture: the real power in the world is Russia and China, the only countries with a real capacity to resist the United States and England and on which they should focus their attention ”. Consequently, the objective of the Biden Administration would be to sign a new Oslo Agreement between the Palestinian and Israeli authorities that lays the definitive foundations for the coexistence of Two States, Palestinian and Israeli, thereby making the utopia embodied in the slogan feasible. : “Two Nations, One Hope”, a task for which the political defenestration of Netanyahu seems essential.

Has AIPAC written off Netanyahu?

Netanyahu using the invisible dictatorship of fear of the Third Holocaust, coming from Hamas, Hezbollah or Iran and through successive offensives against the Gaza Strip, would have managed to escape the action of the Justice that is investigating him for several cases of bribery, fraud and breach of trust in which he is allegedly implicated. Thus, once again, Nentanyahu was confident of a quick victory that would give him an increase in popularity for the next elections while allowing him to remain in power and achieve that the judicial accusations against him and that according to his words would only be a “Coup of Judicial State to remove it from Power ”were diluted in the fog of oblivion, but the asymmetry of the punishment inflicted on the Palestinians of Gaza with about 300 dead, hundreds of wounded as well as the destruction of the basic infrastructure of Gaza, would have caused the international repudiation of Netanyahu and Bibi’s fall from grace with AIPAC. Consequently, it could crystallize a Coalition Government led by the centrist Yair Lapid and the right-wing Naftali Bennett (Rainbow Coalition) that would have the blessings of the powerful Jewish lobby AIPAC and would represent the political decline of the last Jewish emperor, Netanyahu after 12 years in power, not being ruled out orchestral maneuvers by Netanyahu and the main ultra-Orthodox rabbis to get turncoats from Bebbet’s party (Yasmina) to disengage from said agreement and force the new President of Israel, Isaac Herzog to call new elections.

GERMÁN GORRAIZ LÓPEZ Political analyst